Warc, 31 January 2013
BEIJING: The scale of the economic changes in China over the
next eight years will have major implications for business, a new study has
argued.
Higher incomes, lower savings and wider prosperity will mean
more people buying more products and companies will need to adjust their
strategy accordingly, says a report from McKinsey China, the consultancy.
The new middle class is expected to provide the greatest
long-term potential and McKinsey suggests that businesses need to seek out this
group early on and build loyalty through product design, branding and marketing
strategies.
Discretionary spending has already increased, as the
proportion of income spent on food declines, from 37% in 2005 to 27% in 2012.
Consequently, several sectors can be identified as having growth potential.
These include service- and leisure-related industries, such
as dining out, films and theatre. Other areas the study expects to grow include
travel and beauty products.
McKinsey anticipates that smaller cities will be an
important factor in future growth: those with populations of less than 1.5m are
projected to contribute 40% of the total increase in urban GDP.
Cities with populations between 1.5m and 5m will contribute
a further 25% and existing megacities the remainder.
And within cities, the richest quarter of urban households
could account for half of all urban consumption by 2030, with spending shifting
towards personal items, recreation and culture.
An area that the Chinese government is keen to address is
the difference in quality between the brands of multinationals and those of
domestic firms.
Chinese companies have several options, according to the
report. These include acquiring multinational brands, acquiring technology,
launching joint ventures and partnering with specialized companies.
Multinationals, on the other hand, have an opportunity to
establish joint ventures with Chinese companies, as a way of building brand
awareness locally, improving distribution and building closer relationships
with local government to better understand relevant policies.
Risk can be minimised, suggests McKinsey, "by first
obtaining a robust understanding of the local brand and the value-proposition
or aspiration match with their partner and then managing culture
differences".
Data sourced from McKinsey; additional content by Warc staff
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